NOTE: COVID-19 deaths in the US until August 2022 are the focus of this investigation.

The proportion of COVID-19 deaths among vaccinated individuals has increased. About three out of ten persons who died from COVID-19 in the fall of 2021 had received a vaccination or boost. However, as we shown in an analysis published on the Peterson-KFF Health System Tracker, approximately 4 out of 10 deaths were either boosted or vaccinated by January 2022. About six out of ten persons who died from COVID-19 were vaccinated or boosted by April 2022, according to statistics from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). This statistic held true until at least August 2022, the most recent month of data.

The CDC, which gathers data on the number of deaths by vaccination status from 30 health departments nationwide (including states and cities), is the source of the data in this chart. A person must wait at least two weeks after finishing their primary series before testing positive in order to be considered vaccinated (for example, at least 14 days after receiving two doses of the mRNA vaccine). Likewise, a person must wait at least two weeks after receiving a booster or additional dose before testing positive in order for it to be considered that they have received one. This data does not include those who received only a portion of the vaccination.

Although techniques differ by state or jurisdiction, local health authorities in every jurisdiction examine data to ascertain whether the death was related to COVID-19 (by looking at vital records, the cause of death, and/or other public health investigations or data sources). Although these assessments are meant to be restricted to cases where COVID-19 was a substantial contributing factor to the death, it can occasionally be challenging to identify the primary cause of death for someone with serious underlying medical issues. We know that there are still more deaths overall than there were prior to the epidemic (excess deaths) based on other data.

Why is the percentage of COVID-19 mortality among vaccinated individuals increasing?

There are a number of factors at work here, such as shifting immunity among the unvaccinated, declining immunological protection and low booster uptake, and an increasing proportion of the population that is vaccinated. A decrease in masking and other non-pharmaceutical measures, along with the introduction of new variations, may further increase transmission, which may result in an increase in fatalities.

Although vaccinated individuals accounted for a tiny portion of all deaths during the early stages of vaccine rollout, experts cautioned that this percentage would probably increase due to the fact that vaccinated individuals were becoming a larger portion of the population. To put it another way, if everyone in the United States had received the vaccination, then those individuals would account for 100% of COVID-19 fatalities. Likewise, as the percentage of the population with a booster increased slightly in 2022, so did the percentage of deaths among boosted individuals.

For a Deeper Dive into the statistical research conducted by Steve Kirsch, check out his Substack Newsletter HERE.

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